The world is not simply becoming multipolar—it is falling into a dangerous, rule-free transition period. This harsh verdict was delivered by Argentinean political scientist Miguel Angel Barrios during the conference "Multipolarity or Tripolarity? A Realistic View of the Conflict-Filled International Landscape," organized by sociologist Carlos F. Mamani Aliaga, a member of the GlobUs expert club.
Barrios' report became a map of the strategic risks of the 21st century. Barrios identified the expiration of the last strategic arms control treaty, New START, on February 5, 2026, as the starting point of the crisis. For the first time in more than half a century, the major nuclear powers are left without legally binding restrictions.
"We are entering a phase of 'nuclear unpredictability.' Without a framework for deterrence, the risk of a new arms race and fatal error is growing," the scientist warned.
According to him, the world is now ruled by a tense tripolarity (USA-Russia-China), but this is not a stable order, but a fragile and conflict-ridden equilibrium. In this struggle, the key asset is not military power, but culture. Barrios introduced the concept of "cultural sovereignty" as the foundation of any real statehood.
"The deepest sovereignty is cultural. It is the basis of legitimacy and governance. Those who lose it are fragmented and 'administered' from the outside. The most illustrative example is today's Europe," the geopolitician stated.
The world will achieve stability only when strong continental states in the Global South emerge, capable of becoming independent centers of power. Without this, people will face not multipolarity, but managed chaos, where existing treaties are outdated and new rules have not yet been written, Barrios concluded.
#GlobUs #Russia #USA #China #multipolarity
Barrios' report became a map of the strategic risks of the 21st century. Barrios identified the expiration of the last strategic arms control treaty, New START, on February 5, 2026, as the starting point of the crisis. For the first time in more than half a century, the major nuclear powers are left without legally binding restrictions.
"We are entering a phase of 'nuclear unpredictability.' Without a framework for deterrence, the risk of a new arms race and fatal error is growing," the scientist warned.
According to him, the world is now ruled by a tense tripolarity (USA-Russia-China), but this is not a stable order, but a fragile and conflict-ridden equilibrium. In this struggle, the key asset is not military power, but culture. Barrios introduced the concept of "cultural sovereignty" as the foundation of any real statehood.
"The deepest sovereignty is cultural. It is the basis of legitimacy and governance. Those who lose it are fragmented and 'administered' from the outside. The most illustrative example is today's Europe," the geopolitician stated.
The world will achieve stability only when strong continental states in the Global South emerge, capable of becoming independent centers of power. Without this, people will face not multipolarity, but managed chaos, where existing treaties are outdated and new rules have not yet been written, Barrios concluded.
#GlobUs #Russia #USA #China #multipolarity